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Science and Technology
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Aug 14, 2026?
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NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Aug 14, 2026?

Volume:
$7,612

Price to Beat: 2.68

 - Kalshi

Price to Beat: 2.68 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Price to Beat: 2.68

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,612
N/A
N/A
$2,999
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

The H100 SXM, designed for complex computational tasks, has its compute price influenced by factors including ongoing innovations, market demand, and supply chain efficiencies. By August 14, 2026, these elements will determine if the hourly compute cost for the H100 SXM rises past a defined level.

Kalshi

If the value of H100 SXM compute per hour is above 2.68 on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, this market reflects trader expectations through its odds, which can be contrasted with analyst forecasts from major financial institutions and tech research firms. Analysts often weigh factors like supply chain updates, demand trends, and technological developments when making their predictions, while traders react to a broader set of signals and news in real time.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous trading process where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the current odds. The platform’s order book reflects collective trader assessment of the likelihood of an upward price movement, adjusting dynamically with new information and trading activity.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price movement will be compared against official sources to determine whether the price went up or down over the specified period, closing the market and settling all positions accordingly.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major announcements from NVIDIA about product revisions, changes in AI chip demand from key industries, regulatory updates impacting semiconductor sales, or broader economic shifts affecting technology spending. Any unexpected news flow or earnings reports from related companies may also cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment and market odds.