TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The H100 SXM, designed for complex computational tasks, has its compute price influenced by factors including ongoing innovations, market demand, and supply chain efficiencies. By August 14, 2026, these elements will determine if the hourly compute cost for the H100 SXM rises past a defined level.
If the value of H100 SXM compute per hour is above 2.68 on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous trading process where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the current odds. The platform’s order book reflects collective trader assessment of the likelihood of an upward price movement, adjusting dynamically with new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price movement will be compared against official sources to determine whether the price went up or down over the specified period, closing the market and settling all positions accordingly.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major announcements from NVIDIA about product revisions, changes in AI chip demand from key industries, regulatory updates impacting semiconductor sales, or broader economic shifts affecting technology spending. Any unexpected news flow or earnings reports from related companies may also cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment and market odds.