TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
predict

Will NVIDIA Corporation be up or down?

Volume:
$526

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

 - Predict

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 12:30 PM EST

predict

Predict

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NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$100
$526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T16:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T16:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down during the specified timeframe. You’ll find a visual representation of the probabilities, along with the total volume traded – currently $526 – and the 24-hour volume, which is $525. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and participation. The dashboard also displays the implied probability of each outcome, giving a clear picture of where the crowd currently stands on the direction of NVIDIA’s stock price.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide price targets and ratings based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders betting real money. This can lead to divergences, particularly when anticipating short-term price movements. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or shifts in sentiment than traditional analyst reports, offering a potentially more dynamic view of expectations for the NVIDIA stock market.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the NVIDIA stock will close higher or lower. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price effectively represents the market’s consensus expectation, and traders can adjust their positions as new information becomes available. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of NVIDIA stock between 12:15 PM and 12:30 PM ET on October 28th will determine whether the market settles in the ‘Up’ or ‘Down’ category. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a recognized financial exchange, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result for this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 28, 2026. Major catalysts include unexpected earnings reports from NVIDIA, significant announcements regarding new products or technologies, or broader macroeconomic news impacting the semiconductor industry. Analyst upgrades or downgrades could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news related to regulatory changes or competitive pressures within the tech sector could cause shifts in the odds. Overall market volatility and investor risk appetite will also play a role in shaping price action for this market.