TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
predict

Will NVIDIA Corporation be up or down?

Volume:
$443

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

 - Predict

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 12:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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predict

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$114
$443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T16:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T16:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down between 12:30PM and 12:45PM ET on October 23rd. You’ll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $437. Total volume for this market is $443. This allows traders to see how much activity is happening and understand market sentiment regarding NVIDIA’s performance during that specific timeframe.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast from traders on Predict. It’s common to see differences between these crowdsourced predictions and those made by financial analysts. Analysts often rely on fundamental and technical analysis, while this market aggregates the wisdom of many individuals considering a wider range of factors, including news events and market sentiment. It's important to remember that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses when attempting to forecast short-term stock movements.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the NVIDIA stock will be up or down during the specified period. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of the 'up' contracts will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time assessment of market expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of NVIDIA stock between 12:30PM and 12:45PM ET on October 23rd will determine whether the market settles in favor of 'up' or 'down'. The final price will be sourced from a reliable financial data provider to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected news regarding NVIDIA’s earnings, new product announcements, or changes in analyst ratings could all impact trader sentiment. Broader market trends, such as overall stock market performance or economic data releases, could also play a role. Finally, any significant news related to NVIDIA’s competitors or the semiconductor industry as a whole could influence the direction of this market as traders adjust their expectations.