TOTAL VOLUME:

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$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

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4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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63%

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NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 19, 1PM-1:15PM ET
predict

Will NVIDIA Corporation be up or down?

Volume:
$791

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 19, 1PM-1:15PM ET

 - Predict

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 19, 1PM-1:15PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 1:15 PM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 19, 1PM-1:15PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$99
$791
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-19T17:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-19T17:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock market tracks the current odds of the stock going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $786, and the total volume traded to date, which is $791. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likely direction of NVIDIA’s stock price leading up to the event. The dashboard is designed to give you a quick understanding of market sentiment.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may issue buy or sell recommendations based on fundamental analysis, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders responding to a wider range of information, including news events, social sentiment, and technical indicators. It's common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate information more quickly and efficiently than slower-moving analyst reports. This difference highlights the unique value of a forward-looking prediction market like this one.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the NVIDIA stock will be up or down at the specified time. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of the 'up' contracts will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest available information and collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the NVIDIA stock price at 1:15 PM ET on October 19th is higher or lower than its price at 1:00 PM ET on the same day. The direction of the stock movement during that 15-minute window will determine the winning outcome of this market. The final price will be sourced from a reputable financial data provider.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Major news announcements regarding NVIDIA’s earnings, new product launches, or significant changes in the semiconductor industry could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to inflation or interest rates, could also play a role. Additionally, broader market trends and geopolitical events could influence the direction of the NVIDIA stock market, as investors react to changing risk appetites and economic conditions. Any surprise announcements from competitors could also shift expectations.