TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.3b
24H VOL:
$121,875,814
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,437,844,306
405,535
Markets across
30,523
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
It measures anticipated changes in the rental cost of B200 compute power, reflecting expectations about its role in next-generation AI infrastructure. Shifts in market dynamics, production scalability, and alternative technologies will influence whether prices rise above the target level.
If the value of B200 compute per hour is above 6.01 on Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time aggregate of trader expectations and betting behavior. While analysts may publish target prices or directional views based on technical and fundamental research, this market reflects crowd-sourced probabilities that can shift rapidly with new information, news, or market sentiment. The gap between these two can highlight areas of consensus or divergence, helping investors gauge where public betting sentiment diverges from expert opinion.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on the observed price movement of the NVIDIA B200 against the defined comparison point, as reported by reliable and authoritative sources. Traders should monitor official announcements, financial disclosures, and market data leading up to that date to anticipate how this market may close.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Sep 4, 2026. Key events include NVIDIA’s earnings reports, product launches or delays, changes in AI chip demand, geopolitical or supply chain developments, and broader market trends affecting semiconductor valuations. Analyst upgrades or downgrades, industry conferences, and regulatory news may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected macroeconomic shifts or competitive announcements could cause rapid repricing as participants reassess expectations for the B200’s market performance.