TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Come July 31, 2026, observers will determine whether the hourly compute cost of a B200 unit exceeds a predetermined level. This assessment captures broader trends in high-performance computing economics.
If the value of B200 compute per hour is above 6.78 on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a trader-driven outlook that can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may issue reports based on technical specifications, supply chain data, and market trends, this market captures the collective betting sentiment of participants. Traders might price in factors such as upcoming product launches, economic shifts, or supply constraints that aren’t fully reflected in consensus analyst projections.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible price direction of the NVIDIA B200 by the event date. The current implied probability reflects the balance of bets placed, with volume of $1,109 indicating liquidity and interest. Price adjustments happen continuously based on new trading activity and information flow.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on the actual price movement of the NVIDIA B200 compute unit as documented by reliable sources at that time, closing all positions based on the confirmed direction—up or down.