TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
As a newer addition to NVIDIA's portfolio, the B200's compute price reflects its adoption rate, performance improvements, and economic conditions. The cost to utilize B200 computing power per hour by August 14, 2026, will be shaped by these variables, possibly surpassing expected values.
If the value of B200 compute per hour is above 5.76 on Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Currently, this market reflects a specific probability based on trader activity, which may diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often weigh factors like production capacity, demand trends, and technological improvements when making their predictions. Comparing this market’s odds to those forecasts can reveal whether traders are more bullish or bearish on the price movement.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of market participants about whether the NVIDIA B200 price will be up or down by the event date. Volume of $4,118 indicates the level of interest and liquidity.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price movement of the NVIDIA B200 compute will be compared against the defined threshold to determine whether the price is up or down, closing all positions accordingly.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including new product announcements, changes in supply chain dynamics, macroeconomic shifts affecting tech spending, or unexpected demand surges from emerging applications. Any credible news or data releases that hint at future price direction are likely to influence trader sentiment and move odds significantly.