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NVIDIA A100 SXM4 Compute Price Up or Down by Aug 21, 2026?
kalshi

NVIDIA A100 SXM4 Compute Price Up or Down by Aug 21, 2026?

Volume:
$8,346

Price to Beat: 1.04

 - Kalshi

Price to Beat: 1.04 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Price to Beat: 1.04

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,346
N/A
N/A
$1,669
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

The market determines if renting an A100 SXM4 for computation costs more than $1.04 per hour by August 2026. It captures expectations about the longevity of current AI hardware generations and the pace of innovation in machine learning accelerators. Outcomes hinge on balancing performance improvements against inflationary pressures.

Kalshi

If the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour is above 1.04 on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the NVIDIA A100 price movement market dashboard displays real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,457. This tool helps you monitor how traders are positioning around expectations for price changes in the A100 SXM4 compute card by the specified date. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity on Kalshi.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of all participants on Kalshi. Market depth and liquidity, represented by volume of $8,346, help determine how tightly priced the contracts are at any moment.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on official price data sources that the platform deems reliable. Traders should monitor reputable financial news outlets and market data providers as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 21, 2026. Earnings reports from NVIDIA, broader technology sector trends, supply chain updates, and macroeconomic indicators may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, competitor product launches or regulatory developments could impact expectations for A100 pricing, causing rapid shifts in market odds on Kalshi as new information emerges.