TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This tracks the hourly cost of renting an NVIDIA A100 computing unit on a specific date, reflecting potential trends in cloud computing expenses. The focus is on whether pricing reaches certain thresholds, offering insight into the evolving economics of AI hardware access.
All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA A100 compute hourly price at 4 PM ET on October 9, 2026, as reported by Ornn. If Ornn does not publish data for that exact time, the most recent available price before the expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the data are disregarded. All prices are in USD and rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a specific threshold; if the published price exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.
Several signals could shift this market before Oct 9, 2026, including unexpected changes in supply chain efficiency, new contracts or partnerships involving A100 hardware, and broader economic shifts affecting compute demand. Additionally, competitive product releases or regulatory updates may influence trader sentiment. Any significant news from key industry players or macroeconomic indicators tied to AI infrastructure could cause rapid price adjustments.