TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Number of CZ tweets Sep 28th - Oct 5th 2026
predict

How many tweets by CZ Oct 5?

Volume:
$0

0-5

 - Predict

0-5 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

0-5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

6-10

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

11-15

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

16-20

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

21-25

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

26-30

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

31-35

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

36-40

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

41+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Sep 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Oct 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Sep 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Oct 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective intelligence. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges for future events, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, expressing probabilities for different outcomes. If analysts predict CZ will tweet a certain number of times, it’s valuable to see if those predictions align with the implied probabilities reflected in the trading activity on Predict. Discrepancies can highlight areas where the market believes analysts may be over or underestimating the likelihood of various scenarios.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest insights and expectations regarding CZ’s tweeting activity during the specified period. The market's efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of tweets posted by Changpeng Zhao between September 28th and October 5th, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be determined by an independent verification of his official X (formerly Twitter) account activity during that timeframe. The market will then settle based on which outcome range—defined by the contracts available on Predict—accurately reflects the actual number of tweets. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any announcements from Changpeng Zhao regarding his social media strategy, or changes to his availability, would be key catalysts. Major news events related to Binance or the cryptocurrency industry could also influence his tweeting activity. Unexpected legal developments or regulatory scrutiny involving CZ could lead to increased or decreased communication. Finally, broader trends in social media engagement and the overall sentiment towards cryptocurrency could all impact the perceived likelihood of different tweet count outcomes in this market.