TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Number of CZ tweets Oct 26th - Nov 2nd 2026
predict

How many tweets will CZ post?

Volume:
$64

41+

 - Predict

41+ - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 6:03 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

41+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$9,995
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

36-40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,448
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

0-5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

6-10

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

11-15

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

16-20

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

21-25

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

26-30

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

31-35

View
N/A
N/A
—
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Oct 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Nov 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Oct 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Nov 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the CZ tweet count market tracks the implied probability of different outcomes for the number of tweets Changpeng Zhao (CZ) will make between October 26th and November 2nd, 2026. You’ll find the current odds, a price history chart showing how they’ve changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $58. The overall volume for this market is $64, indicating the level of interest from forecasters. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and track how predictions evolve as new information emerges.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as comprehensive predictions for CZ’s tweeting activity during that timeframe are not widely available. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse perspectives and can reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially offering a different view than individual expert opinions. If analysts were to predict a certain range of tweets, this market allows you to see how that compares to the collective prediction of traders on Predict. The market's price reflects what traders believe is most likely to happen.

On Predict, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out based on the final outcome. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the changing consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to new developments related to CZ’s potential activity on X (formerly Twitter).

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of tweets made by Changpeng Zhao between October 26th and November 2nd, 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be sourced from publicly available data on X (formerly Twitter) and will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual number of tweets. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the range containing the final tweet count.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any announcements from CZ regarding his planned activity on X, or changes to his social media strategy, would likely impact trading. Major news events involving Binance or CZ himself could also influence the market, as could broader trends in social media usage or public discourse. Unexpected events that limit or encourage his online presence, such as travel schedules or legal developments, could also be catalysts. Shifts in overall market sentiment towards cryptocurrency or Binance could also play a role.