TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 5:56 PM EST
Kalshi
The National Republican Senatorial Committee's financial position at the end of the third quarter of 2026 will be assessed based on cash reserves reported to federal authorities. This measurement reflects the committee's ability to support Republican Senate candidates.
Resolution is determined by the National Republican Senatorial Committee's cash on hand as of September 30, 2026, according to official Federal Election Commission filings. The event establishes progressive thresholds at $15M, $20M, $25M, $30M, $35M, $40M, and $45M. Resolution uses only the first official or non-preliminary FEC release; subsequent revisions or corrections do not affect the outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will be based on official filings or authoritative news sources that disclose the NRSC’s cash-on-hand figure for the third quarter, closing the market and settling all positions accordingly.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including quarterly fundraising reports, major donor announcements, unexpected political events, or changes in campaign strategy. Media coverage of strong or weak fundraising performance, as well as economic indicators affecting donor behavior, may also influence trader sentiment and adjust the odds leading up to the final settlement date.