TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Politics
NRSC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
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NRSC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Volume:
$27,976

Above $20M

 - Kalshi

Above $20M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 5:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $20M

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,435
N/A
N/A
$613
2w 3d 7h
Yes
kalshi

Above $15M

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,744
N/A
N/A
$657
2w 3d 7h
Yes
kalshi

Above $25M

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,868
N/A
N/A
$676
2w 3d 7h
Yes
kalshi

Above $45M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,893
N/A
N/A
$979
2w 3d 7h
No
kalshi

Above $30M

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,279
N/A
N/A
$639
2w 3d 7h
No
kalshi

Above $35M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,678
N/A
N/A
$529
2w 3d 7h
No
kalshi

Above $40M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,080
N/A
N/A
$151
2w 3d 7h
No
kalshi

Above $10M

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 7h
Yes
kalshi

Above $17.5M

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 3d 7h
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

The National Republican Senatorial Committee's financial position at the end of the third quarter of 2026 will be assessed based on cash reserves reported to federal authorities. This measurement reflects the committee's ability to support Republican Senate candidates.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the National Republican Senatorial Committee's cash on hand as of September 30, 2026, according to official Federal Election Commission filings. The event establishes progressive thresholds at $15M, $20M, $25M, $30M, $35M, $40M, and $45M. Resolution uses only the first official or non-preliminary FEC release; subsequent revisions or corrections do not affect the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the NRSC Q3 cash market dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for this prediction, along with real-time 24-hour volume of $63. It provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and market activity specifically for the NRSC Q3 cash market, showing how participants price the Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee's cash position at the end of the third quarter.

This market resolves around Nov 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will be based on official filings or authoritative news sources that disclose the NRSC’s cash-on-hand figure for the third quarter, closing the market and settling all positions accordingly.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including quarterly fundraising reports, major donor announcements, unexpected political events, or changes in campaign strategy. Media coverage of strong or weak fundraising performance, as well as economic indicators affecting donor behavior, may also influence trader sentiment and adjust the odds leading up to the final settlement date.