TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
kalshi

NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Volume:
$1,602

Above $60M

 - Kalshi

Above $60M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 10:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $60M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$17
2w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Above $90M

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,189
N/A
N/A
$319
2w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Above $70M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
$127
2w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Above $85M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$32
2w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Above $65M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$25
2w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Above $75M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$30
2w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Above $80M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$21
2w 3d 15h
No
Total markets: 7

Description

The National Republican Congressional Committee's financial position at the end of the third quarter of 2026 will be assessed based on cash reserves reported to federal authorities. This measurement reflects the committee's capacity to support Republican House candidates.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the National Republican Congressional Committee's cash on hand as of September 30, 2026, according to official Federal Election Commission filings. The event establishes progressive thresholds at $60M, $65M, $70M, $75M, $80M, $85M, and $90M. Resolution uses only the first official or non-preliminary FEC release; subsequent revisions or corrections do not affect the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Unlike traditional polling averages that measure voter preferences, this market reflects trader expectations about the NRCC's financial performance at the end of Q3. While polls track public opinion on candidates, this market prices in fundamentals like fundraising reports, donor activity, and spending plans. Traders may react faster to financial disclosures or news events than pollsters update their data, potentially creating divergence between market odds and polling trends.

This market resolves around Nov 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final cash-on-hand figure will be drawn from official NRCC disclosures or authoritative news sources covering the quarterly Federal Election Commission filings. Traders should watch for any last-minute reporting surprises or amendments that could shift the confirmed result close to the resolution date.

Key events that could shift this market include major fundraising announcements, high-profile donor events, unexpected expenditure reports, or regulatory developments affecting campaign finance. Economic indicators, political climate shifts, or competitive pressures from other committees may also influence trader expectations. Any news that changes the perceived financial health or strategic priorities of the NRCC can cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess their positions ahead of Nov 20, 2026.