TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3
kalshi

Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3

Volume:
$6,692

Above 900 thousand

 - Kalshi

Above 900 thousand - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 9:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 900 thousand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,296
N/A
N/A
$1,792
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 870 thousand

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,682
N/A
N/A
$1,277
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 880 thousand

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
$260
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 860 thousand

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
$10
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 890 thousand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
$214
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 930 thousand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 920 thousand

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
$103
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 910 thousand

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
$103
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 840 thousand

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
$95
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 810 thousand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
$87
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 820 thousand

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
$87
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 850 thousand

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
$87
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 830 thousand

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
Total markets: 13

Description

Norwegian Cruise Line's passenger numbers for Q3 2026 will be compared against thresholds ranging from 810 thousand to 900 thousand passengers. The company's official quarterly report will determine which threshold markets resolve as Yes.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.'s officially reported passenger count for Q3 2026, evaluated against sequential thresholds from 810,000 to 900,000 passengers. Each market resolves to Yes if the reported figure exceeds its specific threshold, with the highest met threshold determining outcomes across all markets from this event.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NCL Q3 passenger count market tracks real-time odds, price trends, and 24-hour volume of $90. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around Norwegian Cruise Line’s passenger numbers for the third quarter, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity without any cross-platform aggregation.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a collective trader view that can diverge noticeably. While analysts may issue consensus estimates based on historical data and projections, the prediction market incorporates real-time sentiment, news, and speculative positioning. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on market dynamics and emerging signals.

This market resolves around Feb 25, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passenger count reported by Norwegian Cruise Line for Q3 will determine which side of the market is settled, based on data that is publicly released and widely accessible.

Key signals that could shift this market include Norwegian Cruise Line’s quarterly earnings releases, changes in travel demand due to economic conditions or health developments, fuel price fluctuations affecting cruise operations, and any major disruptions such as port closures or weather events. Each of these factors can influence trader expectations and shift odds before resolution.