TOTAL VOLUME:

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410,482

Markets across

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events

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4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Next President of the National Rally in 2026?
polymarket

Next President of the National Rally in 2026?

Volume:
$54,763

Jordan Bardella

 - Polymarket

Jordan Bardella - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 9:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Jordan Bardella

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
Yes
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Jean-Philippe Tanguy

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Marine Le Pen

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

David Rachline

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
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Louis Aliot

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
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Hélène Laporte

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,824
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
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Laurent Jacobelli

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0%
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—
N/A
$1,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
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Sébastien Chenu

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
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Other

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No
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No
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Total markets: 25 of 35

Description

The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress. If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress. If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the National Rally leadership market tracks the current odds for various potential presidents, the price history of these predictions, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $54,763, with $11,697 traded in the last day. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different outcomes, allowing you to see shifts in sentiment over time. It's a central hub for monitoring activity within this specific market.

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a strong likelihood of a particular outcome, but it’s important to consider how this compares to traditional polling data. While polls attempt to gauge public opinion at a specific moment, this market reflects what individuals are willing to put their money on. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like informed traders, differing methodologies, and the incentive structure of prediction markets. It’s often observed that prediction markets can be more accurate than polls, particularly when forecasting events with a clear binary outcome, but this isn’t always the case.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on who is officially elected as the President of the National Rally at the party’s congress. This will be determined by the official results announced by the National Rally itself and reported by reputable news sources. The market will then settle based on that verified information, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major political endorsements, shifts in public opinion as reflected in polling data, and any internal conflicts or scandals within the National Rally could all cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements regarding potential candidates, changes in the political landscape, or even significant media coverage could also move the market. Any developments that alter the perceived likelihood of different individuals becoming president will likely be reflected in the trading activity and, consequently, the odds within this market.