TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Next Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)?
polymarket

Next Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)?

Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM EST - Nov 4, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$29,374
Volume 24h:
$433
746%
Liquidity:
$50,044
162%
Open interest:
$4,173N/A

Nasiphi Moya

 - Polymarket

Nasiphi Moya - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 02d:08h:06m

Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?

47%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 58¢ buys you 172 shares | Odds: 47% Total Payout: $172 | Net Profit: $72 Multiplier: 1.72x | ROI: 72% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Nasiphi Moya

Trade
47%
7%
Yes 58¢No 65¢
23¢
$517
$6,529
1%
9%
N/A
2d 8h 6m
Active
polymarket

Cilliers Brink

Trade
28%
2%
Yes 45¢No 88¢
33¢
$4,978
$18,441
2%
4%
N/A
2d 8h 6m
Active
polymarket

Person B

Trade
17%
18%
Yes 19¢No 85.8¢
4.8¢
$12,509
$565
0%
25%
N/A
2d 8h 6m
Active
polymarket

Person A

Trade
15%
8%
Yes 28.3¢No 99.2¢
27.5¢
$2,220
$623
3%
3%
N/A
2d 8h 6m
Active
polymarket

Person E

Trade
10%
6%
Yes 18.5¢No 99.1¢
17.6¢
$1,885
$421
0%
15%
N/A
2d 8h 6m
Active
polymarket

Tlangi Mogale

Trade
5%
1%
Yes 9¢No 98.8¢
7.8¢
$688
$991
0%
13%
N/A
2d 8h 6m
Active
polymarket

Person D

Trade
4%
Yes 7.8¢No 99.4¢
7.2¢
$1,045
$529
0%
27%
N/A
2d 8h 6m
Active
polymarket

Person C

Trade
4%
16%
Yes 6.4¢No 99.4¢
5.8¢
$13,174
$202
11%
29%
N/A
2d 8h 6m
Active
polymarket

Omphile Maotwe

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$13,028
$1,072
0%
0%
N/A
2d 8h 6m
Active
Total markets: 9

Description

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final declaration of the next mayor will settle all positions, reflecting the official outcome reported through authoritative news sources and government announcements.

Key events such as debate performance, endorsement announcements, scandal developments, or shifts in voter registration can all influence this market. Traders will also watch regional polling updates and campaign financing reports, as these often precede broader opinion shifts. Any major surprise — like a candidate withdrawal — could cause rapid price adjustments.