TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Nevada Governor Election Winner
⌛Ending Soon
opinion

Who will win the Nevada Governor election?

Oct 16, 2026, 12:25 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Aaron Ford (D)

 - Opinion

Aaron Ford (D) - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:06h:19m

Aaron Ford (D)

78%chance
Amount

$

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opinion

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At 78¢ buys you 128 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $128 | Net Profit: $28 Multiplier: 1.28x | ROI: 28% APY not meaningful
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Aaron Ford (D)

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 6h 19m
Active
opinion

Joe Lombardo (R)

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 6h 19m
Active
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Nevada Governor election tracks the implied probability of each candidate winning, represented as odds. It also displays the price history of the market, allowing you to see how expectations have shifted over time. Currently, the total volume traded in this market is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on the outcome of the election.

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a different outlook than traditional polling data. While polls often show a close race, this market reflects a stronger expectation for one candidate to win. It's important to remember that polls capture a snapshot in time and are subject to sampling error, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of many individuals betting with their own capital. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially closer to the election date, as new information becomes available and is incorporated into the price.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results announced by election authorities for the Nevada Governor election. The candidate who receives the most votes will be declared the winner, and that will determine the outcome of this market. It’s important to note that any recounts or legal challenges will be considered in determining the final, official result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 4, 2026. Major events like televised debates, significant campaign fundraising announcements, or unexpected endorsements could all shift voter sentiment and, consequently, market prices. Polling data releases will also be closely watched, as they provide insights into the current state of the race. Furthermore, any unforeseen political developments or scandals involving the candidates could introduce volatility into this market. Changes in economic conditions or national political trends could also influence the outcome.