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Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 19?
polymarket

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 19?

Volume:
$715

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 19?

 - Polymarket

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 19? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 6:11 PM EST

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Polymarket

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Volume
24h
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Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 19?

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$715
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on October 19, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on October 19, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the NFLX price movement market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the probability of Netflix’s stock closing higher or lower on October 19th. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded in this market, currently at $715, and the 24-hour volume, which is $710. This allows you to quickly assess market sentiment and activity surrounding this specific event.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for Netflix. While analysts often provide price targets and ratings based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market reflects real-money sentiment about the stock’s direction. Discrepancies between the prediction market’s implied probability and analyst expectations can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked factors influencing the stock price. It’s worth noting that analysts’ forecasts are often expressed as point estimates, while this market provides a probabilistic view of potential outcomes.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Netflix’s stock will close up or down on October 19th. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation of the likelihood of an upward or downward price movement for NFLX.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the closing price of Netflix (NFLX) stock on October 19th is higher or lower than its opening price on the same day. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Key catalysts include any unexpected news regarding Netflix’s subscriber growth, earnings reports, or major content releases. Broader market trends, such as overall investor sentiment towards tech stocks or economic data releases, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant news related to competitors in the streaming space or regulatory changes impacting the industry could impact the perceived probability of an NFLX price increase or decrease. Unexpected analyst upgrades or downgrades could also shift market sentiment.