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$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Netflix (NFLX) closes week of Oct 5 at ___?
polymarket

How will Netflix close the week of Oct 5?

Volume:
$1,768

$70-$80

 - Polymarket

$70-$80 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 6:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$70-$80

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$20-$30

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$30-$40

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$40-$50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$110

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$90-$100

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$100-$110

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$60-$70

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$80-$90

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$50-$60

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Netflix stock market tracks the current probabilities of various price ranges for NFLX at the close of trading on the week of October 5. You’ll find the implied probabilities for different outcomes, a price history chart showing how the market has priced in information over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $105. The total volume traded on this market is $1,768, indicating the level of interest from forecasters. This allows users to quickly assess market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

Currently, the collective prediction on Polymarket suggests a specific range of outcomes for the Netflix stock price. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on financial modeling and company reports. While analysts may provide point estimates or target prices, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing for a more dynamic and real-time assessment of potential price movements. It’s important to note that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses, and discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and information access.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Netflix (NFLX) stock on the final day of trading during the week of October 5 will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the officially reported closing price from a reputable financial data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 9, 2026. Unexpected earnings reports from Netflix, major announcements regarding subscriber growth, or shifts in overall market sentiment towards tech stocks could all cause price fluctuations. News related to competitor performance, changes in streaming industry regulations, or even broader economic indicators could also impact trading activity. Any significant event affecting Netflix’s perceived future prospects has the potential to move this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.