TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of a major stock market index on a specific date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain threshold values.
The market resolves based on the Nasdaq 100 index value at 12pm EDT on October 5, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold value; if the index closes above that threshold at the specified time, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. All markets close on October 05, 2026, and expire either when the index value is first officially released or one week after the closing date, whichever comes first. The rules specify modified data sources for index calculations per the Kalshi Rulebook.