TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of a major stock market index on a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain threshold values.
The market resolves based on whether the Nasdaq 100 index value at 3pm EDT on October 12, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds. Each market has a unique threshold, and if the index closes above that threshold at the specified time, the market settles at 'Yes'; otherwise, it settles at 'No'. All markets close on October 12, 2026, and expire either when the index value is first officially reported or one week after the close date, whichever comes first. The rules consistently reference modified source agency and underlying definitions per the Kalshi Rulebook for indices markets, but these modifications do not alter the core resolution mechanism tied to the index value thresholds.