TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain threshold values by that point.
The market resolves based on whether the Nasdaq 100 index value at 1pm EDT on October 12, 2026 exceeds specified thresholds. Each market has a unique threshold, with outcomes resolving to "Yes" if the index closes above the threshold and "No" otherwise. All markets close on October 12, 2026, and expire either when the index value is officially released or one week after the close date, whichever comes first. The rules consistently apply across all markets in this event, with no variation in settlement mechanics beyond the differing threshold levels.