TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Most popular AI this week
kalshi

What is the most popular AI this week?

Volume:
$34,616

DeepSeek

 - Kalshi

DeepSeek - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

DeepSeek

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,155
N/A
N/A
$8,713
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Anthropic

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,625
N/A
N/A
$9,002
Settled
No
kalshi

Z.ai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,857
N/A
N/A
$1,695
Settled
No
kalshi

Tencent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,570
N/A
N/A
$2,800
Settled
No
kalshi

Google

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,858
N/A
N/A
$2,858
Settled
No
kalshi

Xiaomi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,232
N/A
N/A
$1,546
Settled
No
kalshi

OpenAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,319
N/A
N/A
$1,319
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks which artificial intelligence model garners the most user engagement during a specific week, reflecting current trends and preferences in technology adoption. The outcome depends on real-time data measuring how frequently each AI model is utilized by users.

Kalshi

The event determines the most popular AI model for the week of August 17, 2026, based on weekly usage metrics from OpenRouter's Top Models chart. A company's model is considered the highest usage if it has the greatest weekly token volume for a single model, rather than aggregate volumes across all its models. If multiple models tie for the highest usage, the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology applies; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank. In such cases, contracts for tied entities resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The resolution relies solely on the updated OpenRouter data for the specified week, with no affiliation or endorsement implied by the event host towards any involved parties or trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of AI popularity. While analysts may weigh long-term capabilities or corporate announcements, traders react quickly to news cycles, social media trends, and emerging technologies. This can lead to short-term shifts where the market favorite differs from expert predictions, especially during rapid developments in the AI space.

This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning AI will be the one most frequently cited or analyzed across major technology news outlets, research publications, and industry trend reports during the market week. No complex calculations are involved — it’s a straightforward popularity contest measured by media coverage.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Major product launches, high-profile research papers, celebrity endorsements, or viral social media moments involving specific AI systems often cause rapid swings. Additionally, significant investment announcements or regulatory updates can boost an AI’s profile. Traders will be watching tech news aggregators, conference announcements, and trending hashtags to anticipate movements in the weekly AI popularity market.