TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 26, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$15,205

Above 11%

 - Kalshi

Above 11% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 11%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,825
N/A
N/A
$2,825
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 8%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,039
N/A
N/A
$2,039
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 25%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,800
N/A
N/A
$3,800
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 22%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,008
N/A
N/A
$2,008
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 15%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,232
N/A
N/A
$1,232
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 18%

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,101
N/A
N/A
$1,101
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 20%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 13%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI development resources allocated to Moonshot AI through the Vercel platform on a specific date. It reflects potential trends in how research institutions prioritize different AI tools and infrastructure for their projects. The outcome depends on whether this allocation meets or exceeds various percentage thresholds.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across leading research labs on September 26, 2026, exceeds specified percentage thresholds. Resolution occurs at 10:00 AM ET on September 27, 2026, using the updated chart value for the previous day, rounded to one decimal place. Multiple markets exist with escalating percentage requirements (8%, 11%, 13%, 15%, 16%, 18%, 20%, 22%, and 25%). Each market independently resolves to 'Yes' if the measured spend share meets or surpasses its respective threshold, otherwise resolving to 'No'. Kalshi clarifies no official affiliation exists with Vercel, and all brand elements remain property of their respective owners.