TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$34,836

Above 13%

 - Kalshi

Above 13% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 13%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 19%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,803
N/A
N/A
$4,803
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 21%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,803
N/A
N/A
$4,803
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 22%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,803
N/A
N/A
$4,803
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 24%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,772
N/A
N/A
$4,772
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 18%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,685
N/A
N/A
$4,685
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,685
N/A
N/A
$3,685
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 26%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,584
N/A
N/A
$3,584
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 29%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,584
N/A
N/A
$3,584
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI development resources allocated to Moonshot AI through Vercel by leading research institutions on a specific date. It reflects potential shifts in strategic priorities and partnerships within the competitive AI development landscape.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs on September 24, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. The determining value will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026, using the updated chart data. Each market has a distinct threshold: if the recorded percentage exceeds the specified level (ranging from 13% to 29%), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, with resolution contingent solely on whether the measured spend share meets or exceeds their individual threshold. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all brand names referenced remain the property of their respective owners.