TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Time left: 26d:01h:47m
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These markets track potential growth in Monster Energy drink sales for October 2026, measured against specific performance thresholds. The outcomes depend on year-over-year changes in point-of-sale data, reflecting consumer purchasing trends. The markets resolve based on independently verified sales index values.
All markets share identical secondary rules and data sources, using Carbon Arc’s point-of-sale receipt panel to measure year-over-year sales growth for Monster Energy drinks in October 2026. The index, where 100 represents equal sales compared to the same month last year, updates daily based on in-store and online purchases captured via receipt-scanning and rewards apps. Final values for each market resolve at 11:59 p.m. ET on the second calendar day following the end of October 2026 (i.e., November 3, 2026 ET). Each market has a distinct primary threshold (e.g., above 94, 98, 100, etc.), and if the published index exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, with no direct linkage between thresholds, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the underlying company or data provider.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for Monster Energy sales. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a probability distribution of potential outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, information access, and biases. It’s important to note that analysts’ predictions are based on models and reports, while this market is driven by real-money trading and evolving expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes for the Monster Energy sales market, and the price of these contracts reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving prices higher and increased selling pressure driving them lower. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on publicly available data regarding Monster Energy drink point-of-sale growth in October. The specific data source will be determined by Kalshi and will be considered authoritative for the purpose of settling this market. Traders should monitor official announcements for the exact details of the resolution process as the end date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding Monster Energy’s sales performance, marketing campaigns, or promotional activities would be closely watched. Broader economic indicators, such as consumer spending trends and retail sales data, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected events like supply chain disruptions or changes in competitor strategies could also move the market. Finally, any major announcements related to the energy drink industry or consumer preferences could have a notable effect on trading activity.