TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

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$1,944,100,805

420,493

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Mississippi Senate Election Winner
⌛Ending Soon
opinion

Who will win the Mississippi Senate election?

Oct 19, 2026, 10:22 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Scott Colom (D)

 - Opinion

Scott Colom (D) - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:02h:59m

Scott Colom (D)

17%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 17¢ buys you 588 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $588 | Net Profit: $488 Multiplier: 5.88x | ROI: 488% APY not meaningful
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Scott Colom (D)

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 59m
Active
opinion

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 59m
Active
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Mississippi Senate election tracks the implied probability of each candidate winning, represented by the market’s odds. You can also view the price history, showing how these probabilities have shifted over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $0, and the total volume traded to date is $0. This provides a real-time gauge of where the crowd believes the election is headed, offering a dynamic alternative to traditional polling data.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages for the Mississippi Senate election. Polling data captures a snapshot of stated intentions, while this market reflects what individuals are willing to *wager* on. This distinction can be significant, as wagering involves a real cost and therefore may be a more accurate signal of true beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like voter turnout assumptions, strategic voting, or simply a more informed participant base in the prediction market.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by relevant election authorities. The candidate who receives the most votes in the Mississippi Senate election will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Any potential recounts or legal challenges will be considered in the resolution process, ensuring an accurate and fair outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 4, 2026. Major endorsements from influential figures, significant fundraising announcements, or unexpected developments in the candidates’ campaigns could all shift trader sentiment. Polling data releases, while often already factored in, can still cause price adjustments if they deviate substantially from expectations. Debates and public appearances by the candidates are also key catalysts, as they provide opportunities for voters to assess their platforms and personalities. Any unforeseen events impacting voter turnout could also influence this market.