TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:43 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This group forecasts the winner of the 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election. Markets exist on Polymarket and Kalshi, each offering individual markets for numerous candidates and an 'Other' option. Resolution will be based on official election results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the same core criterion: the official winner of the 2026 Milton mayoral election.Primary resolution logic: Official information from Milton, Ontario.Core resolution logic:
- The market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2026 Milton mayoral election.
- If no candidate receives a majority, the market resolves to the candidate who ultimately wins the election based on the official election process.
- If the election result is not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 'Other'.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Tie: In the event of a tie, the market will resolve according to the official resolution of the tie by the Milton, Ontario election authorities.
- Candidate Withdrawal: If a candidate withdraws before the election, the market will remain open, and the outcome will still be based on the final official election results.
- Election Delay: If the election is delayed, the resolution date will be adjusted accordingly, but the resolution criteria will remain the same.
Polymarket
The 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Milton, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Milton, Ontario.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to Yes if the named candidate wins the 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election. All markets are eligible for accelerated resolution upon a consensus of media calls confirming the election outcome.