TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in September
kalshi

What is the Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in September?

Volume:
$26,471

Above 84

 - Kalshi

Above 84 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 2, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 84

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,649
N/A
N/A
$4,639
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 83

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,111
N/A
N/A
$4,111
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 85

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,443
N/A
N/A
$3,443
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 82

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,200
N/A
N/A
$3,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 79

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,156
N/A
N/A
$3,156
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 87

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,693
N/A
N/A
$2,143
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 86

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,301
N/A
N/A
$2,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 88

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$993
N/A
N/A
$738
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 91

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,924
N/A
N/A
$1,663
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

These markets track the performance of Miller Lite beer sales in September 2026 compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the sales growth index, reported by Carbon Arc, exceeds specific thresholds. The index reflects year-over-year changes in consumer spending on Miller Lite through a panel that captures in-store and online purchases.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth index for September 2026, with each market requiring the index to exceed a specific threshold (ranging from 79 to 91). The index measures year-over-year sales growth, where 100 indicates no change from the prior year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Determination for all markets is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for September 2026; any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not affect the outcome. The index is calculated using a point-of-sale receipt panel that tracks in-store and online purchases via receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available. Kalshi is not affiliated with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released sales data for the September period, analyzed against the market’s defined thresholds. Traders should watch for earnings releases, industry reports, or regulatory filings that provide the necessary figures to settle all positions.

Several signals could shift this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key catalysts include preliminary sales announcements, industry-wide trends affecting consumer beverage spending, and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation or disposable income changes. Media coverage of brand performance, advertising campaigns, or competitor activity may also influence trader sentiment. Any surprise data releases—or revisions to previous estimates—could cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as participants reassess probabilities.