TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Nov 2 at ___?
polymarket
opinion

How will MSFT close the week of Nov 2?

Total volume:
$20,387
Volume 24h:
$3,545
31%
Liquidity:
$14,869
196%
Open interest:
$3,705N/A

$520-$530

 - Polymarket

$520-$530 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:16h:36m

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $520-$530 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?

11%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 14¢ buys you 714 shares | Odds: 11% Total Payout: $714 | Net Profit: $614 Multiplier: 7.14x | ROI: 614% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$520-$530

Trade
11%
10%
Yes 14¢No 93¢
7¢
$1,641
$2,030
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 36m
Active
polymarket

$480-$490

Trade
8%
12%
Yes 10.5¢No 95¢
5.5¢
$1,237
$1,020
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 36m
Active
polymarket

$530-$540

Trade
6%
10%
Yes 10¢No 98¢
8¢
$892
$495
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 36m
Active
polymarket

$500-$510

Trade
21%
8%
Yes 26¢No 85¢
11¢
$795
$80
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 36m
Active
polymarket

$540-$550

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 19.4¢No 98.6¢
18¢
$1,198
$80
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 36m
Active
polymarket

<$480

Trade
13%
8%
Yes 20¢No 94¢
14¢
$1,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 36m
Active
polymarket

$490-$500

Trade
17%
14%
Yes 21¢No 88¢
9¢
$765
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 36m
Active
polymarket

$510-$520

Trade
20%
5%
Yes 24¢No 85¢
9¢
$858
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 36m
Active
polymarket

$550-$560

Trade
10%
9%
Yes 19.9¢No 99.6¢
19.5¢
$1,521
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 36m
Active
polymarket

$560-$570

Trade
10%
Yes 19.9¢No 99.6¢
19.5¢
$2,445
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 36m
Active
polymarket

>$570

Trade
10%
34%
Yes 19.9¢No 99.6¢
19.5¢
$2,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 16h 36m
Active
opinion

530

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

510

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

520

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

540

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

550

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

These markets ask where Microsoft's stock price will close on the final day of trading during the week of November 2nd. The markets are structured as a series of binary questions, each representing a specific price range, with one market also asking about prices above a certain threshold.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms rely on the closing price of MSFT stock on the final trading day of the specified week, using Pyth data as the primary source and the primary exchange as a fallback.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the 'Close' value from Pyth for the final minute of regular trading.
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, the last valid Pyth price during regular trading hours will be used.
  • As a final fallback, the official closing price from the primary exchange will be used.
  • In the event of a stock split, prices will be adjusted proportionally as displayed on Pyth.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Price falls exactly on range boundary: If the closing price falls exactly between two brackets, the market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
  • Trading Day Disruption: If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value, the last valid Pyth price achieved during regular trading hours will be used. If no Pyth price exists, the primary exchange's official closing price will be used.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the close of trading on Friday, November 6th, once the closing price is confirmed by Pyth or the primary exchange.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Microsoft (MSFT) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Opinion, this market tracks predictions about Microsoft’s (MSFT) closing price the week of November 2nd. The dashboard aggregates data from both platforms to provide a consensus view of potential outcomes. Currently, the combined volume across both venues is $20,387, with $3,705 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the MSFT closing price will land, and compare the probabilities offered by each platform for the MSFT closing price market. The dashboard offers a comprehensive look at the predictions surrounding this event.

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts may be influenced by company affiliations or biases, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incentivizing accurate predictions through financial rewards. This market, for example, reflects real money at stake, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts than those based solely on opinions. While analyst targets can be useful, the price action in this market provides a dynamic and continuously updated assessment of MSFT’s potential performance. It's a valuable data point for investors seeking diverse insights.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the official closing price of Microsoft (MSFT) stock on the last trading day of the week of November 2nd, as reported by a major financial exchange. Traders will be able to see the verified result and the distribution of payouts based on their predictions. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.

Several factors could influence the price action in this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major news regarding Microsoft, such as earnings reports, product announcements, or significant partnerships, could all trigger price movements. Broader economic indicators, like inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also impact investor sentiment towards tech stocks, including MSFT. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in market risk appetite could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities in this market.