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Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
predict

Will MSFT/USDT be up or down by October 28?

Volume:
$149

Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

 - Predict

Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET - Predict

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·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 12:30 PM EST

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predict

Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$99
$149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MSFT/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/msft-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MSFT/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T16:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MSFT/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/msft-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MSFT/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T16:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Microsoft stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down between 12:15PM and 12:30PM ET on October 28th. You’ll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $149. The total volume for this market is $149. This allows you to see how much activity there is and gauge the overall sentiment towards the direction of Microsoft’s stock price during that specific window.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders on Predict offers a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges, this market represents a probability distribution of potential outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information and are continuously updated based on new developments. This allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, potentially revealing insights that static analyst reports may miss regarding the Microsoft stock market.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Microsoft’s stock will close up or down within the specified timeframe. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of the ‘up’ contracts will climb, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Microsoft’s stock between 12:15PM and 12:30PM ET on October 28th will determine whether the ‘up’ or ‘down’ outcome is declared. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 28, 2026. Unexpected earnings reports, major product announcements from Microsoft, or broader economic news impacting the tech sector could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant news related to key competitors or changes in regulatory policies could also move the market. Even seemingly minor events, if perceived as indicative of future performance, can lead to price fluctuations in this market, reflecting the collective assessment of informed traders.