TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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63%

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Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 19, 1PM-1:15PM ET
predict

Will MSFT/USDT be up or down by October 19?

Volume:
$153

Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 19, 1PM-1:15PM ET

 - Predict

Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 19, 1PM-1:15PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 1:15 PM EST

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predict

Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 19, 1PM-1:15PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$2
$153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MSFT/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/msft-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MSFT/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-19T17:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MSFT/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/msft-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MSFT/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-19T17:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Microsoft stock market tracks the current odds of the stock going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $153, and the total volume traded to date, which is $153. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trends. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how participants are assessing the likelihood of Microsoft's stock performance.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on financial models and company reports, this market incorporates the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of information or the inclusion of factors not typically considered by analysts. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to divergences from established analyst expectations regarding the Microsoft stock.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Microsoft stock will close higher or lower by the specified time. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of 'up' contracts will climb, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Microsoft stock between 1:00 PM and 1:15 PM ET on October 19th will determine whether the 'up' or 'down' outcome is declared. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data and established market standards. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their predictions and the final stock price.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Major company announcements from Microsoft, such as earnings reports, new product launches, or significant partnership deals, would likely have a substantial impact. Broader economic news, including interest rate changes or shifts in the overall stock market, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected geopolitical events or industry-specific news related to the technology sector could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Any information perceived as positive or negative for Microsoft's future prospects could drive trading activity.