TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
predict

Will Micron Technology rise or fall?

Volume:
$266

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

 - Predict

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 3:30 PM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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predict

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1
$266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/mu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T19:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/mu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T19:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Micron stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $265, and the total volume traded to date, which is $266. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and activity surrounding Micron’s potential price movement. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how participants are assessing the likelihood of an increase or decrease in the stock price.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders on Predict offers a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for Micron. While analysts often provide price targets and ratings, this market represents a probabilistic view of whether the stock will be up or down by the specified close of trading on October 23rd. It’s common to see discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and analyst opinions, as this market incorporates a wider range of information and real-time sentiment. This provides a unique signal that may differ from conventional financial analysis.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the future direction of Micron’s stock price. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of the stock closing higher or lower. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing opinions among participants. Essentially, the market price aggregates the individual assessments of numerous traders, creating a collective forecast for Micron’s performance.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the closing price of Micron Technology, Inc. stock on October 23rd, between 3:15 PM and 3:30 PM Eastern Time, is higher or lower than its opening price on the same day. The final price will be sourced from a reputable financial data provider, ensuring an objective determination of whether the market resolves to an 'Up' or 'Down' outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major catalysts include unexpected earnings reports from Micron, significant announcements regarding the semiconductor industry, or broader macroeconomic news impacting technology stocks. Any shifts in analyst ratings or price targets could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, news related to supply chain disruptions, competitor performance, or changes in consumer demand for memory chips could all contribute to fluctuations in the odds. Unexpected geopolitical events or broader market volatility could also play a role.