TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
predict

Will Micron Technology rise or fall?

Volume:
$972

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

 - Predict

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 12:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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predict

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$129
$972
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/mu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T16:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/mu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T16:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Micron stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $976, and the total volume traded to date, which is $972. This allows traders to see how much activity there is and how sentiment is shifting. The dashboard provides a clear, real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on Micron’s performance.

Currently, prediction market odds represent a different view than traditional analyst forecasts for Micron. While analysts often provide price targets and ratings based on fundamental analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders responding to a wider range of information, including news, sentiment, and technical indicators. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information more quickly and represent a broader spectrum of opinions regarding the stock’s future direction. This market offers a unique, forward-looking perspective.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Micron stock will close higher or lower by the specified time. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the stock’s potential movement. The current price indicates the market's aggregate expectation.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Micron Technology, Inc. stock on October 23, between 12:30PM and 12:45PM Eastern Time, will determine whether the 'Up' or 'Down' outcome is declared. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized financial data source, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected earnings reports from Micron, major announcements regarding new products or technologies, or shifts in broader market sentiment towards the semiconductor industry could all influence trader behavior. Macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also play a role. Any news impacting the overall tech sector or Micron’s competitive position is likely to be reflected in the price of contracts in this market, leading to increased volume and price volatility.