TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

63%

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Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET
predict

Will Micron Technology rise or fall?

Volume:
$2,705

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET

 - Predict

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 11:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$2,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/mu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T14:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/mu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T14:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Micron stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down, the price history reflecting trader sentiment, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume is $2,705 and the 24-hour volume is $2,597. This allows participants to see how the market is evolving and where the majority of traders are placing their bets. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the collective prediction regarding Micron’s performance.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may base their predictions on fundamental and technical analysis, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a broader range of information and potential catalysts. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment, potentially identifying opportunities or risks that analysts might overlook. This can lead to a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Micron stock will close up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and changes rapidly as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Micron Technology, Inc. stock on October 23, 2026, between 10:45 AM and 11:00 AM Eastern Time will determine whether the 'up' or 'down' outcome is declared. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized financial data source, ensuring transparency and accuracy in determining the final result of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major earnings reports from Micron, broader economic indicators impacting the semiconductor industry, and any news regarding technological advancements or supply chain disruptions could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in investor risk appetite could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant analyst upgrades or downgrades of Micron stock could trigger price movements within this market, as traders react to the new information and adjust their predictions.