TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

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$1,879,276,037

410,833

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Michigan Governor Election Winner
⌛Ending Soon
opinion

Who will win the Michigan Governor election?

Oct 14, 2026, 7:05 AM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Jocelyn Benson (D)

 - Opinion

Jocelyn Benson (D) - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 03h:13m:51s

Jocelyn Benson (D)

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 97.8¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Jocelyn Benson (D)

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 13m
Active
opinion

John James (R)

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 13m
Active
opinion

Independent

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 13m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Michigan governor election tracks the implied probability of different outcomes, represented as odds. It also displays a price history chart showing how these probabilities have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. This allows users to see how the collective predictions of traders are evolving as new information becomes available. The current volume for this market is $0, indicating the level of interest and activity surrounding the election.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls aim to capture a snapshot of current voter sentiment, this market aggregates the informed opinions of individuals with skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like differing methodologies, weighting, and the ability of market participants to incorporate a wider range of information, including fundraising data, candidate performance, and expert analysis. It's common to see this market adjust more quickly to changing circumstances than polls.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Michigan governor election. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of traders regarding its probability. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time forecast of the election’s potential results, driven entirely by user activity.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results declared by the relevant election authorities in Michigan. The candidate who receives the most votes in the official election count will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 3, 2026. Major developments in the candidates’ campaigns, such as significant fundraising announcements or impactful debate performances, could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected economic news, shifts in national political trends, or major endorsements could also influence the odds. Furthermore, any significant events affecting voter turnout or public perception of the candidates are likely to cause fluctuations in this market, as traders react to the changing landscape of the Michigan governor election.