TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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MI-03 House Election Winner
⌛Ending Soon
opinion

Who will win the MI-03 House election?

Oct 19, 2026, 10:22 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Terri DeBoer (R)

 - Opinion

Terri DeBoer (R) - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:06h:21m

Terri DeBoer (R)

6%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 6.2¢ buys you 1,613 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $1,613 | Net Profit: $1,513 Multiplier: 16.13x | ROI: 1,513% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Terri DeBoer (R)

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 6h 21m
Active
opinion

Hillary Scholten (D)

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 6h 21m
Active
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, this dashboard tracks the odds of various outcomes for the MI-03 House election, providing a view into what traders believe will happen. You can see the current price for each candidate, as well as a history of how those prices have changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $0. This information allows you to gauge market sentiment and track how it evolves as new information becomes available.

Currently, prediction markets, like this one, often offer a different perspective than traditional polling averages. Polling averages aim to capture a snapshot of current voter preferences, while this market reflects what traders believe will *actually* happen, incorporating not just stated preferences but also factors like likely turnout, campaign effectiveness, and unforeseen events. It's common to see discrepancies, especially in competitive races, as the market can adjust more quickly to new information and strategic shifts than polls. The difference between the two can sometimes be significant, offering a potentially valuable signal beyond standard polling data.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results announced by election authorities for the MI-03 House election. The candidate who receives the most votes will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of all contracts within this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.

Between now and Nov 4, 2026, several factors could cause significant movement in this market. Major campaign events, such as rallies or town halls, could influence voter sentiment and, consequently, trading activity. Unexpected developments in the candidates’ personal or professional lives could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, shifts in broader political trends, such as changes in national polling data or major legislative developments, could affect how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes in the MI-03 House election. Any new information that alters the perceived trajectory of the race could lead to price adjustments.