TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Meta Platforms, Inc. Up or Down - October 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
predict

Will Meta Platforms be up or down?

Volume:
$788

Meta Platforms, Inc. Up or Down - October 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

 - Predict

Meta Platforms, Inc. Up or Down - October 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 2:30 PM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

Meta Platforms, Inc. Up or Down - October 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$15
$788
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the META/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/meta-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink META/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-19T18:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the META/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/meta-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink META/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-19T18:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Meta stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down by the close of trading on October 19th. You’ll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $782. The total volume traded on this market is $788. This information helps traders understand market sentiment and make informed decisions about their predictions.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide price targets and ratings based on fundamental analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a real-time assessment of potential price movement. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and the inclusion of factors not typically considered in traditional financial models. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to news and events than analyst ratings.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Meta stock will close up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the implied probability of the stock closing higher, with traders adjusting their positions as new information becomes available. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a highly accurate forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the closing price of Meta Platforms, Inc. stock on October 19th, between 2:15 PM and 2:30 PM Eastern Time, is higher or lower than its opening price on that same day. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major news regarding Meta’s earnings, product launches (such as updates to the Metaverse), or regulatory developments could all impact investor sentiment. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to advertising revenue or consumer spending, could also play a role. Furthermore, broader market trends and overall investor risk appetite will likely influence trading activity in this market, potentially leading to substantial shifts in the predicted outcome.