TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

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4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Science and Technology
Meta (META) Q3 average price per ad growth?
polymarket

Meta (META) Q3 average price per ad growth?

Volume:
$3,341

12% to 15%

 - Polymarket

12% to 15% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 6:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

12% to 15%

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

9% to 12%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15%+

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6% to 9%

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<6%

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to Meta's average price per ad growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Meta's average price per ad growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Meta ad revenue market tracks the current odds of various outcomes for Meta’s Q3 average price per ad growth. You can view the implied probabilities, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,242. The total volume traded on this market is $3,341. This provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are forecasting the company’s advertising performance. The dashboard is updated continuously as new trades are placed, offering a dynamic perspective on market sentiment.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of the corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the participants.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially reported average price per ad growth for Meta during its Q3 earnings release. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligns with the verified result. This provides a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome, ensuring fairness and transparency for all participants.

Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to resolution. Major announcements from Meta regarding advertising strategies or user growth could shift trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic indicators, such as changes in consumer spending or advertising budgets, will also play a role. Unexpected news related to data privacy regulations or competition within the digital advertising space could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, any revisions to analyst forecasts for Meta’s revenue could impact the price action in this market.