TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Meta (META) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Meta (META) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Meta (META) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Meta (META) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for Meta. While analysts often provide price targets based on financial modeling, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders betting real capital. This difference can stem from factors analysts might not fully account for, such as unexpected news events or shifts in investor sentiment. It’s important to note that both approaches offer valuable insights, but this market provides a unique, real-time assessment of probabilities.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the future Meta stock price. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of the stock reaching a certain level by the resolution date. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing algorithm to ensure fair and efficient trading, adjusting prices based on supply and demand. This creates a constantly evolving market that responds quickly to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the closing price of Meta stock on the specified date. The platform will utilize publicly available financial data to determine the final outcome and distribute payouts to winning traders. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual market performance of Meta stock.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Major factors include Meta’s quarterly earnings reports, announcements regarding new products or technologies (like advancements in the metaverse), and any significant changes in the overall economic climate or investor sentiment towards technology stocks. Unexpected regulatory developments or major news events impacting Meta’s reputation could also cause substantial shifts in the market. Any information that alters perceptions of Meta’s future performance has the potential to influence trading activity.