TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

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40,345

events

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4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Meta headcount in Q3
kalshi

Meta headcount in Q3

Volume:
$16,554

Above 77 thousand

 - Kalshi

Above 77 thousand - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 5:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 77 thousand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,911
N/A
N/A
$2,380
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 67 thousand

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,608
N/A
N/A
$1,802
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 68 thousand

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,526
N/A
N/A
$1,623
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 69 thousand

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,892
N/A
N/A
$1,284
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 70 thousand

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,355
N/A
N/A
$804
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 71 thousand

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$842
N/A
N/A
$758
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 72 thousand

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$65
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 74 thousand

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
$228
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 64 thousand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 66 thousand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 73 thousand

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
$100
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 75 thousand

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$44
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 76 thousand

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 65 thousand

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
Total markets: 14

Description

This event tracks Meta Platforms Inc.'s total number of employees reported for the third quarter of 2026. The outcome depends on whether the officially disclosed headcount exceeds specific thresholds. Higher thresholds offer increasingly stringent conditions for a positive resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if Meta Platforms Inc. reports a headcount above any of the specified thresholds (ranging from 67,000 to 77,000) for Q3 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct level of employee count, with the market resolving positively if the actual reported figure meets or exceeds any one of these levels. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of Meta surpassing various employment benchmarks within that quarter, reflecting potential growth, hiring activity, or changes in workforce strategy.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Meta headcount market tracks the current odds and price history, along with 24-hour volume of $6,700. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different headcount outcomes for Meta in the third quarter, giving you a real-time view of market sentiment and activity for this specific prediction.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced assessment of expectations. While analysts may incorporate a range of financial metrics and guidance, traders adjust prices based on recent news, economic signals, and sentiment. This can lead to divergence, especially around earnings releases or major product announcements that shift expectations quickly.

This market resolves around Feb 26, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final headcount figure for Meta in Q3 will be drawn from officially released company data or reputable financial disclosures, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key earnings calls, workforce announcements — including hiring freezes or layoffs — and macroeconomic updates affecting tech employment may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, industry-wide trends or regulatory developments impacting Meta’s operations can cause rapid price adjustments as new information emerges.