TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

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40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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63%

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Meta headcount above __ in Q3?
polymarket

Meta headcount above __ in Q3?

Volume:
$4,628

66000

 - Polymarket

66000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 6:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

66000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

68000

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

74000

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,049
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70000

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72000

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Meta’s headcount for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Meta’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and webcast transcripts/recordings. Note: if the specified company reports multiple variations of the specified metric for the relevant quarter, the first version of the metric found in the following hierarchy of earnings materials will be used. 1) Earnings Press Release 2) Earnings Investor Presentation 3) Regulatory Filings 4) Transcripts or recordings of Earnings webcast.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Meta’s headcount for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Meta’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and webcast transcripts/recordings. Note: if the specified company reports multiple variations of the specified metric for the relevant quarter, the first version of the metric found in the following hierarchy of earnings materials will be used. 1) Earnings Press Release 2) Earnings Investor Presentation 3) Regulatory Filings 4) Transcripts or recordings of Earnings webcast.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Meta headcount market tracks the current odds of whether Meta’s headcount in Q3 will be above a certain level. You can view the implied probability of different outcomes, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $647. The total volume traded on this market is $4,628. This information allows traders to gauge market sentiment and track how predictions evolve as new information becomes available. The dashboard provides a clear visualization of how the market is pricing this future event.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of the event occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares indicating they believe Meta’s headcount will be above the threshold, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the likelihood of the event.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on Meta’s officially reported headcount figures for Q3. Any official announcements from Meta regarding their employee numbers will be the primary source for determining whether the headcount exceeded the specified level. The market will then settle based on this verified data, providing a clear and objective outcome for all participants.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Meta regarding hiring plans, restructuring initiatives, or financial performance would be key catalysts. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to the tech sector or overall employment trends, could also influence trading activity. Any news regarding Meta’s strategic priorities or investments in new areas could shift expectations about future headcount needs. Finally, broader market sentiment and investor confidence in Meta’s growth prospects could also play a role in moving this market.