TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Meta family daily active people in Q3
kalshi

What will Meta's daily active people be in Q3?

Volume:
$1,029

Above 3.63 billion

 - Kalshi

Above 3.63 billion - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 5:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.63 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
$278
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.62 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.61 billion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
3mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.65 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
$392
3mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 3.66 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
3mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 3.69 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$64
3mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 3.64 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$13
3mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 3.67 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
3mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 3.68 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
3mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 3.72 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$2
3mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 3.7 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
3mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Above 3.71 billion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
3mo 3w 4d
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks Meta Platforms Inc.'s performance in engaging users across its family of apps during a specific quarter. It focuses on the company's ability to maintain or grow its user base, reflecting broader trends in user engagement and platform popularity. The outcome depends on the reported number of daily active users for Q3 2026.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on Meta Platforms Inc.'s reported family daily active people for Q3 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold, with the outcome determined by whether the reported figure exceeds the respective threshold. If the reported number meets or exceeds any of the thresholds from 3.61 billion up to 3.72 billion, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The structure ensures precise alignment with Meta's official reporting, focusing solely on the quantitative metric of daily active users for the specified quarter.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Meta daily active users market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $684. It shows how traders are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for Meta's daily active people in Q3, offering a visual snapshot of market sentiment and activity on this single venue.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for Meta's daily active people. While analysts may incorporate broader financial metrics and long-term trends, prediction market odds can shift rapidly with new news, product releases, or user growth signals, creating a dynamic alternative perspective on the same question.

This market resolves around Feb 26, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released data from Meta for the Q3 period, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Key signals that could shift this market include Meta's quarterly earnings reports, product announcements impacting user engagement, changes in advertising revenue affecting platform usage, and broader economic factors influencing digital behavior. Any surprise updates or market reactions to these events may cause rapid movements in odds before the market closes.