TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Meta ad impressions growth in Q3
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Meta ad impressions growth in Q3

Volume:
$3,390

Above 8%

 - Kalshi

Above 8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 5:01 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 8%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$206
N/A
N/A
$204
3mo 3w 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 12%

0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,029
N/A
N/A
$487
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 18%

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$900
N/A
N/A
$517
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 10%

0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$609
N/A
N/A
$305
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 14%

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
$209
3mo 3w 3d
No
kalshi

Above 16%

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
$204
3mo 3w 3d
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of Meta Platforms Inc.'s advertising services during a specific quarter, focusing on how many more ad impressions the company delivers compared to a previous period. It reflects the company's ability to expand its advertising reach and attract more advertisers. The outcome depends on whether the growth in ad impressions meets or exceeds certain thresholds.

Kalshi

The event evaluates Meta Platforms Inc.'s ad impressions growth for Q3 2026 across multiple thresholds. If the company reports growth above any of the specified levels—8%, 10%, 12%, 14%, 16%, or 18%—the market resolves positively. Each threshold serves as a successive benchmark, with higher thresholds representing more aggressive growth performance. The resolution hinges on the actual reported growth figure relative to these tiers, where surpassing any threshold results in a 'Yes' outcome. Secondary rules, though not detailed here, would typically define how the growth is calculated and verified, ensuring consistent and transparent assessment of Meta's performance against these benchmarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Meta ad growth market dashboard tracks the latest odds and price movements for this prediction market. You can view the current top outcome, historical price trends, and the 24-hour volume of $792. This real-time view helps traders monitor sentiment and liquidity around the market's trajectory.

This market resolves around Feb 26, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on officially published financial data for the relevant quarter, specifically the year-over-year change in ad impressions as reported by Meta.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including Meta’s upcoming earnings releases, changes in advertising policies, macroeconomic shifts affecting digital ad spending, and major product launches or platform updates. Any data point that influences expected ad impressions growth may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting odds and pricing.