TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Meta Platforms Inc.'s advertising services during a specific quarter, focusing on how many more ad impressions the company delivers compared to a previous period. It reflects the company's ability to expand its advertising reach and attract more advertisers. The outcome depends on whether the growth in ad impressions meets or exceeds certain thresholds.
The event evaluates Meta Platforms Inc.'s ad impressions growth for Q3 2026 across multiple thresholds. If the company reports growth above any of the specified levels—8%, 10%, 12%, 14%, 16%, or 18%—the market resolves positively. Each threshold serves as a successive benchmark, with higher thresholds representing more aggressive growth performance. The resolution hinges on the actual reported growth figure relative to these tiers, where surpassing any threshold results in a 'Yes' outcome. Secondary rules, though not detailed here, would typically define how the growth is calculated and verified, ensuring consistent and transparent assessment of Meta's performance against these benchmarks.
This market resolves around Feb 26, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on officially published financial data for the relevant quarter, specifically the year-over-year change in ad impressions as reported by Meta.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including Meta’s upcoming earnings releases, changes in advertising policies, macroeconomic shifts affecting digital ad spending, and major product launches or platform updates. Any data point that influences expected ad impressions growth may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting odds and pricing.