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McDonald's Credit Card Spend in September
kalshi

What is McDonald's credit card spend in September?

Volume:
$16,181

Above 88

 - Kalshi

Above 88 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:22 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 88

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,993
N/A
N/A
$2,593
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 93

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,961
N/A
N/A
$594
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 97

View
100%
97%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,928
N/A
N/A
$597
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 91

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,152
N/A
N/A
$487
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 95

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,067
N/A
N/A
$728
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 101

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,464
N/A
N/A
$1,562
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 103

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,667
N/A
N/A
$1,252
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 99

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,184
N/A
N/A
$308
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 106

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$764
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

These markets track McDonald's credit card spending performance for September 2026, measured against specific year-over-year growth thresholds. The outcomes depend on whether spending exceeds set levels, reflecting consumer behavior trends through aggregated transaction data.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for McDonald's Credit Card Spend in September 2026. The index measures year-over-year change, with 100 indicating equal spending compared to the same month last year. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. Each market has a unique threshold; if the reported index exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Any corrections or revisions to the data after the initial report are disregarded for settlement purposes. The index is derived from Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the prior year's corresponding period and updated daily.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the McDonald's September credit card spend market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $3,203. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different spending outcomes for that month, offering a visual snapshot of market sentiment and activity.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate a wide range of economic indicators and historical trends, traders are pricing in their best guess of the official September figures as they become available, which can lead to sharper shifts around key data releases.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official September credit card spend figure is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number, released by the relevant financial authority, will determine which market outcome is settled and pays out traders accordingly.

Key signals that could move this market include early retail sales reports, consumer confidence surveys, and any major economic announcements affecting consumer spending. Unexpected macroeconomic news, changes in consumer behavior, or shifts in McDonald's sales trends in the days before the official release can also cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders react to new information.