TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?
polymarket

Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?

Volume:
$13,813

7.5% to 8.5%

 - Polymarket

7.5% to 8.5% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 10:02 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

7.5% to 8.5%

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

6.5% to 7.5%

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

8.5% to 9.5%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<6.5%

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9.5%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to Mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Mastercard Q3 growth market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $2,946. You can see how traders are positioning themselves on the likely percentage change in Mastercard’s gross dollar volume growth for the third quarter, expressed on a local currency basis. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment and allows you to analyze trading activity related to this specific financial event. This is a key resource for anyone following this market.

Currently, prediction market participants are expressing their views on Mastercard’s Q3 growth. These expectations can be compared to those of financial analysts covering the company. If analysts broadly predict a certain growth rate, it's interesting to see whether this market reflects a similar consensus, or if traders anticipate a different outcome. Discrepancies between market odds and analyst forecasts can highlight areas of disagreement or unique insights held by the crowd. This comparison can offer a more nuanced understanding of potential performance than either source alone.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on new information and trading activity, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential growth rate. Higher demand for shares indicating a specific growth percentage will drive up the price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This creates a real-time signal of market expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on Mastercard’s officially reported Q3 gross dollar volume growth, calculated on a local currency basis. The reported figure will be the definitive source for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor Mastercard’s investor relations releases for the official announcement, as this will be the basis for settling all open positions.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding overall consumer spending trends, particularly in the retail and e-commerce sectors, could influence expectations for Mastercard’s volume growth. Major economic data releases, such as GDP figures or inflation reports, could also play a role. Additionally, company-specific announcements from Mastercard, including any updates to their guidance or strategic initiatives, would likely move the market. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in global financial conditions could also introduce volatility.