TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis)?
polymarket

Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis)?

Volume:
$14,398

10.5% to 11.5%

 - Polymarket

10.5% to 11.5% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 10:02 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

10.5% to 11.5%

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,773
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

11.5% to 12.5%

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12.5% to 13.5%

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13.5%+

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$20,922
$1,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<10.5%

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to Mastercard's cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Mastercard's cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Mastercard cross-border volume market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $1,515, with a total volume of $14,398. You can see how traders are pricing in the likelihood of different outcomes for Mastercard’s Q3 cross-border volume growth. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment and allows you to monitor changes in expectations as new information becomes available. This is a useful tool for anyone interested in following the market’s dynamics.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts regarding Mastercard’s Q3 cross-border volume growth. While some analysts predict moderate growth, this market suggests a wider range of potential outcomes are possible. The collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket often incorporates factors not immediately captured in standard financial models. It’s important to note that analyst forecasts are typically point estimates, while this market represents a probability distribution of potential results, offering a more nuanced view of the possibilities.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final cross-border volume growth. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, with higher volume generally indicating greater confidence in the prevailing odds. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations for Mastercard’s performance.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on Mastercard’s officially reported Q3 cross-border volume growth figures, expressed on a local currency basis. The market will settle to 100% for the outcome that matches the reported growth percentage, and 0% for all other outcomes. Traders should monitor official Mastercard releases for the definitive data that will determine the market’s resolution.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news related to global economic conditions, particularly those impacting international trade and travel, could influence expectations for cross-border volume. Major currency fluctuations, geopolitical events, or changes in consumer spending patterns are also potential catalysts. Furthermore, any announcements from Mastercard regarding their Q3 performance or outlook could directly impact trading activity and price movements in this market. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation or GDP figures, could also play a role.