TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 12:10 AM EST
Polymarket
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set prices through a decentralized betting mechanism that balances buy and sell orders. The current implied chance for the leading outcome reflects the ratio of ‘for’ to ‘against’ contracts. Market depth and liquidity influence price discovery, and any significant trades can shift odds quickly. Volume of $1,821 over the last day shows how active trading is.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official ballots counted after voting concludes, and the market settles based on that verified result. No internal platform mechanisms or external data feeds beyond publicly confirmed outcomes are used to close positions.
Several signals could shift this market before Oct 27, 2026. Key catalysts include major policy announcements, debates, or controversies involving candidates, which may alter voter preferences and trader expectations. Local economic data releases or shifts in endorsement patterns can also influence odds. As the election approaches, polling updates will become more frequent, often driving rapid market adjustments. Any last-minute scandals or strategic moves by campaigns are likely to cause volatility, reshaping the probability landscape on Polymarket.