TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Maine Senate Election Winner
⌛Ending Soon
opinion

Who will win the Maine Senate election?

Oct 16, 2026, 12:25 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$65
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Troy Jackson (D)

 - Opinion

Troy Jackson (D) - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:03h:18m

Troy Jackson (D)

70%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 76¢ buys you 132 shares | Odds: 70% Total Payout: $132 | Net Profit: $32 Multiplier: 1.32x | ROI: 32% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Troy Jackson (D)

Trade
70%
Yes 76¢No 29¢
5¢
N/A
$51
0%
0%
N/A
1d 3h 18m
Active
opinion

Susan Collins (R)

Trade
35%
Yes 30¢No 75¢
5¢
N/A
$14
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 3h 18m
Active
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Maine Senate election tracks the implied probability of each candidate winning, based on trading activity. You’ll find a price history showing how these probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the current 24-hour volume of $0. Currently, the total volume for this market is $65. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and see which outcome traders are currently favoring in the race for the Maine Senate.

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a different outlook than traditional polling data. While polls may show a close race, this market reflects the collective judgment of traders who are putting capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between prediction markets and polls, as markets incorporate a wider range of information, including qualitative factors and insights not captured in standard surveys. This can provide a unique perspective on the potential outcome of the Maine Senate election, beyond simple polling numbers.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results announced by election authorities for the Maine Senate election. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified winner. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available data and does not involve any subjective judgment calls.

Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Major news events, such as candidate debates, significant endorsements, or unexpected campaign finance disclosures, could all influence trader sentiment. Polling data releases, while currently differing from the market's assessment, could also cause adjustments. Furthermore, any unforeseen circumstances impacting a candidate’s campaign, or broader political developments in Maine, could lead to substantial movement in the market for the Maine Senate election before Nov 4, 2026.