TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:43 PM EST
Kalshi
MAGA Inc.'s financial position at the end of the third quarter of 2026 will be assessed based on cash reserves reported to federal authorities. This measurement reflects the independent expenditure committee's liquidity and fundraising performance.
Resolution is determined by MAGA Inc.'s cash on hand as of September 30, 2026, according to official Federal Election Commission filings. The event establishes progressive thresholds at $275M, $300M, $325M, $350M, $375M, $400M, $425M, and $450M. Resolution uses only the first official or non-preliminary FEC release; subsequent revisions or corrections do not affect the outcome.
Unlike traditional polling averages, this market reflects trader expectations about MAGA Inc.'s financial position, incorporating a range of data points and sentiment indicators beyond voter opinions. While polls measure public support, this market prices in perceived organizational strength through financial metrics, often reacting more quickly to fundraising news or expenditure reports.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and offering, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate wisdom of participants. The odds adjust dynamically based on new information flows, trading volume of $2,549, and market depth, capturing a forward-looking view of MAGA Inc.'s cash position.
On Kalshi, this market resolves around Nov 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination relies on official financial disclosures and widely recognized data sources, ensuring transparency and accuracy for all participants.