TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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MAGA Inc. Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
kalshi

MAGA Inc. Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Volume:
$2,549

Above $325M

 - Kalshi

Above $325M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 10:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $325M

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,508
N/A
N/A
$16
2w 3d 13h
No
kalshi

Above $375M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$595
N/A
N/A
$581
2w 3d 13h
No
kalshi

Above $400M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
$266
2w 3d 13h
No
kalshi

Above $350M

0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$50
2w 3d 13h
No
kalshi

Above $275M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
2w 3d 13h
No
kalshi

Above $425M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$35
2w 3d 13h
No
kalshi

Above $300M

0%
89%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$29
2w 3d 13h
No
kalshi

Above $450M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$10
2w 3d 13h
No
Total markets: 8

Description

MAGA Inc.'s financial position at the end of the third quarter of 2026 will be assessed based on cash reserves reported to federal authorities. This measurement reflects the independent expenditure committee's liquidity and fundraising performance.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by MAGA Inc.'s cash on hand as of September 30, 2026, according to official Federal Election Commission filings. The event establishes progressive thresholds at $275M, $300M, $325M, $350M, $375M, $400M, $425M, and $450M. Resolution uses only the first official or non-preliminary FEC release; subsequent revisions or corrections do not affect the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the MAGA Inc. cash balance market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $35. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different cash balances for MAGA Inc. at the end of Q3, with updates reflecting market sentiment and recent news.

Unlike traditional polling averages, this market reflects trader expectations about MAGA Inc.'s financial position, incorporating a range of data points and sentiment indicators beyond voter opinions. While polls measure public support, this market prices in perceived organizational strength through financial metrics, often reacting more quickly to fundraising news or expenditure reports.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and offering, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate wisdom of participants. The odds adjust dynamically based on new information flows, trading volume of $2,549, and market depth, capturing a forward-looking view of MAGA Inc.'s cash position.

On Kalshi, this market resolves around Nov 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination relies on official financial disclosures and widely recognized data sources, ensuring transparency and accuracy for all participants.